Seasonality Studio
Selected history
Market regime
Election cycle
Top analogs
Eligible years
12
before top-5 ranking
Median year-end
-30.0%
selected analogs
Analog win rate
+20%
positive full years
Strongest month
Oct
+15.2%
Median max drawdown
-43.5%
selected analogs
Analog returns on the left axis; current and projected price with its forward range on the right
Ranked only on the path available through 2026-10-20.
RMSE 12.43 · DD -32.1%
RMSE 14.76 · DD -43.5%
RMSE 26.84 · DD -81.5%
RMSE 28.37 · DD -66.9%
RMSE 30.74 · DD -32.1%
Methodology: daily adjusted closes are normalized from each selected period’s first session. Similarity uses only observations available through the current calendar-equivalent date. Bull/bear labels use the selected ticker’s weekly long-term regime signal at that same historical date—not the year’s eventual peak or full-year return. Seasonality is descriptive, not a forecast.